Research archive
Historical reports are point-in-time snapshots. They are preserved as published rather than revised, so a report read today shows exactly what the model saw on its data cutoff.
October 18, 2026
todayEnergy's oil-driven uptrend is the lone favorable read as U.S. inflation, the AI chip selloff and dearer oil keep bonds, metals and property cautious.
China, emerging markets and core bonds screen modestly cheap, while US, Australian and gold prices sit above modeled value at 5% yields.
October 17, 2026
yesterdayEnergy is the only clear opportunity as Gulf supply risk lifts crude, while hot inflation and AI-credit stress keep metals, bonds and real estate at the cautious end.
Core bonds screen somewhat cheap with 5.4% yields, while US, Australian and oil-linked prices sit well above modeled fair value.
October 16, 2026
2 days agoEnergy leads a balanced medium-term market while the single-day tone leans negative as AI-chip selling and inflation pressure weigh on equities, bonds and REITs.
Bonds, China and emerging markets screen modestly cheap, while U.S. stocks, oil and gold sit above modeled fair value with 10-year yields above 5%.
October 15, 2026
3 days agoEnergy is the one class with a constructive medium-term setup, yet most holdings advanced on the single-day view — a bounce inside cautious standing regimes.
With the ten-year real yield near 2.8%, broad US bonds and Chinese equities screen cheapest while US, Japanese and Pacific equities price above modeled economic value.
October 14, 2026
4 days agoMedium-term readings lean cautious across most asset classes while the single-day picture is weaker still, and energy is the only class where both horizons lean positive.
With the 10-year Treasury near 5.2%, investment-grade bonds screen as the only broadly cheap asset class, while crude oil and Pacific equities trade well above modeled economic value.
October 13, 2026
5 days agoEnergy stands alone on the supportive side while rate-sensitive assets stay pressured; a steadier single day does not reverse the cautious medium-term balance.
US equities trade about 11% above central modeled value, while Europe, the broad US bond market and Chinese equities sit at or below theirs.
October 12, 2026
6 days agoEnergy is the one clear medium-term opportunity in a cautious cross-asset balance, and the single-day read is bearish with risk at the elevated end.
Emerging markets and China screen cheapest against modelled value today, while crude-linked energy and US large-cap screen dearest versus a 4.47% one-year Treasury.
October 11, 2026
last weekMost holdings rose on the single-day view while the medium-term balance stayed negative in six of the eleven classes, with the cost of capital still the binding constraint.
US large-cap equities trade about 17% above central modeled fair value; real estate and bonds screen closest to it as real yields stay high.
October 9, 2026
last weekMedium-term balance stays cautious as rising capital costs weigh on property, bonds and Europe, while a broad single-day advance in equities ran against those same trends.
The broad U.S. bond market prices below modeled economic value while gold, crude oil and developed Pacific equities carry the widest premiums.
October 8, 2026
last weekOnly Energy carries a positive medium-term balance across the eleven classes, and the single-day read is bearish with elevated risk, led by rates and an oil shock.
With the 10-year Treasury at 5.22%, nearly every risk asset prices above modeled economic value; only broad bonds and crypto screen near fair.
October 7, 2026
last weekMedium-term readings stay balanced while the single-day picture turned broadly negative — energy and Japanese equities were the only ground holding firm.
Emerging markets and China trade below modeled economic value while US equities, Australia and crude sit above it, as 20-year-high real yields reset every discount rate.
October 6, 2026
last weekMedium-term balance hides a split market: energy and Japanese equities lead, bonds, Europe and property lag, and the single-day bounce argues with the trend.
With the 10-year Treasury at 5.26%, U.S. and emerging-market equities look modestly expensive while Chinese equities and broad bonds screen closest to value.
October 5, 2026
last weekA broad single-day advance sits on top of a medium-term picture that is only balanced, with the rate-sensitive classes still carrying the damage.
With the 10-year Treasury at 5.26% and real yields near two-decade highs, high-grade bonds screen fair while most equity markets look somewhat expensive.
October 2, 2026
2 weeks agoA broadly bullish single-day tape sits inside a medium-term balance tilted cautious, with long yields the one force reaching almost every asset class.
With the one-year Treasury at 4.58%, US large-cap and Australian equities screen expensive against today-equivalent value while broad bonds screen cheap.
October 1, 2026
2 weeks agoA generation high in long yields keeps the medium-term balance cautious, while the single-day tape turns mixed as energy and technology pull against property and bonds.
With one-year Treasuries paying 4.58%, US equities sit near the top of their modeled fair-value range while Chinese equities, REITs and bonds screen cheaper.
September 30, 2026
2 weeks agoEnergy and Japan hold the only constructive medium-term ground as two-decade-high yields press bonds, property and Europe lower; the single-day read stayed negative.
US equities screen expensive against a 5.26% 10-year Treasury, while Chinese and emerging-market equities trade well below modelled economic value.
September 29, 2026
2 weeks agoMedium-term readings stay balanced while the single-day picture turned broadly negative, leaving rate-sensitive bonds and property weakest and AI-linked exposure the only support.
US equities sit near the top of their modeled fair-value range while Chinese equities and high-quality bonds screen cheapest.
September 28, 2026
2 weeks agoMedium-term readings still hold support in Japan and Energy, but the single-day picture is bearish almost everywhere, with risk elevated and breadth deeply negative.
Bonds, Japan and emerging markets screen better priced than U.S. equities and crude oil, with a 4.59% one-year Treasury setting a demanding hurdle.
September 27, 2026
3 weeks agoMedium-term balance stays tilted against bonds and property while energy and Japanese shares lead; the single-day read is mixed, with positive breadth but adverse fresh evidence.
US equities and crude oil screen expensive against a 5.17% ten-year Treasury, while emerging markets, China and investment-grade bonds screen cheap.
September 25, 2026
3 weeks agoBonds and property carry the deepest damage while Japan and energy remain the only positive classes, and single-day risk sits elevated across the cross-section.
Investment-grade bonds, listed real estate and Europe screen cheapest against today's modeled fair value, while US equities, crude oil and gold look stretched.
September 24, 2026
3 weeks agoMedium-term positioning still reads balanced, but single-day breadth turned broadly negative as a multi-decade rate shock reached every duration-sensitive asset.
Real estate and Chinese equities screen cheapest, while US equities and developed Pacific look expensive against a 5.18% 10-year Treasury.
September 23, 2026
3 weeks agoA balanced medium-term picture across the asset universe sits against a single-day sweep lower in which energy was the only class to finish higher.
Emerging markets and China screen cheap while US, Japanese and energy assets look expensive against a 5.11% 10-year Treasury.
September 22, 2026
3 weeks agoMedium-term readings stay balanced while the single-day tape leans broadly higher, and energy is the one place where the two horizons point in opposite directions.
Real yields near decade highs leave US equities and crude richly priced, while bonds, emerging markets and REITs screen cheapest on modeled fair value.
September 21, 2026
3 weeks agoMarkets look balanced on a medium-term view, yet a broad single-day rally in crypto, US tech and Asian exporters contrasted with a sharp fall in energy.
Bonds and emerging markets screen cheapest, while crude oil, gold and US large caps sit above today's modeled fair-value ranges.
September 18, 2026
4 weeks agoTightening policy and a contested energy corridor keep the medium-term balance cautious, while single-day breadth was broadly negative outside China and metals.
With the 10-year real yield near 2.7%, US equities, real estate and gold screen above modeled economic value, while Europe, China and Japan sit at or below it.
September 17, 2026
4 weeks agoMedium-term positioning is balanced across the asset classes, while the single-day picture is broadly bullish with elevated event risk still unresolved.
US and Australian equities screen expensive against record profit margins and 99th-percentile real yields, while broad bonds and REITs sit closest to fair value.
September 16, 2026
4 weeks agoRate pressure from the Fed hike leaves the medium-term picture balanced but tilted cautious, while the single-day read was bearish in every class except Japan.
China, emerging-market stocks and core bonds screen modestly cheap, while US equities, Pacific ex-Japan and oil-linked energy look expensive.
September 15, 2026
4 weeks agoMedium-term balance holds with Energy leading and bonds lagging, but the single-day read turned broadly bearish as yields and oil climbed.
US equities, REITs and crude oil trade well above modeled economic value, while China, emerging markets and investment-grade bonds screen cheapest.
September 14, 2026
4 weeks agoMedium-term evidence is balanced, led by energy and weighed down by bonds, but the single-day picture turned broadly bearish as AI fears, yields and Fed hike bets hit.
Core bonds screen modestly cheap and China, Europe and bitcoin sit near fair value, while US equities and crude oil trade well above modeled value.
September 11, 2026
5 weeks agoPrices rose across most classes, yet the medium-term balance stays flat and single-day risk is elevated as rate and energy evidence pushes the other way.
High-grade bonds are the only asset class priced below its modeled fair-value range, while US and Developed Pacific equities sit near the top of theirs.
September 10, 2026
5 weeks agoEnergy's supply-driven strength keeps the medium-term picture balanced, but the single-day read was broadly bearish as hike bets and costly oil hit bonds and equities.
Bonds screen near fair value while oil, Developed Pacific and US equities trade furthest above modeled fair value as 10-year real yields reach 2.55%.
September 9, 2026
5 weeks agoEnergy leads on a supply shock while fixed income and property lag; medium-term trends still hold, but the single-day tape was broadly lower.
China & Hong Kong Equities and Emerging Markets Equities trade furthest below modeled economic value today, while Energy sits furthest above it.
September 8, 2026
5 weeks agoEnergy, Australian resources and metals lead as supply shocks lift producers, though a broad single-day decline leaves most equity uptrends unconfirmed by the tape.
Emerging markets and listed real estate screen cheapest against today's economics, while US equities sit above modeled fair value on record aggregate valuations and a 98th-percentile real yield.
September 7, 2026
5 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are balanced, while the single-day picture is mixed: Energy and China lead as rate-sensitive assets face event-driven pressure.
Emerging markets and China screen cheaper, while U.S. equities and energy carry the largest valuation pressure versus current fundamentals.
September 4, 2026
6 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are balanced overall, led by Energy, while the single-day picture turns cautious as crypto and Europe weaken.
U.S. equities and energy screen expensive, while emerging markets and China show the widest modeled discounts to current economic value.
September 3, 2026
6 weeks agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable across most assets, while the single-day picture is bullish with metals leading and fixed income still conflicted.
China and Japan screen cheapest, while real estate and U.S. equities remain expensive against a 4.16% one-year Treasury hurdle.
September 2, 2026
6 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are balanced, while single-day breadth favors Energy, Metals and U.S. equities as fresh event risk remains elevated.
China and emerging markets show the widest fair-value discounts, while U.S. equities remain expensive and bonds offer a modest Treasury edge.
September 1, 2026
6 weeks agoMedium-term opportunities remain favorable in select regions, but the single-day tape is broadly risk-off as rate and geopolitical risks intensify.
Non-U.S. equities show the clearest valuation discounts, while U.S. equities remain relatively rich and Treasury yields keep the hurdle competitive.
August 31, 2026
6 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are balanced, led by Energy and Developed Pacific, while the single-day picture is softer across U.S. equities, Europe, bonds and real estate.
China and real estate show the largest fair-value cushions, while U.S. equities remain expensive against a 4.04% one-year Treasury hurdle.
August 28, 2026
7 weeks agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable, but the single-day picture is cautious as broad price weakness meets hawkish Fed signals and high event risk.
China and emerging markets screen cheapest, while U.S. equities and energy look rich against a 4.04% one-year Treasury hurdle.
August 27, 2026
7 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are favorable, led by Energy, while the single-day setup is balanced with low risk.
U.S. equities remain the clearest valuation stretch, while bonds and China show a better price-to-value balance against a 4.02% 1Y Treasury.
August 26, 2026
7 weeks agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable, led by Pacific and U.S. equities, while single-day breadth is weak despite fresh AI-driven news support.
China, emerging markets and Europe screen cheapest, while U.S. equities remain expensive against a 4.01% one-year Treasury hurdle.
August 25, 2026
7 weeks agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable across most assets, while single-day breadth is bullish; Energy weakness and elevated event risk remain key watchpoints.
China and emerging markets screen cheap, while U.S. equities, metals and energy look richer against a 4.04% one-year Treasury hurdle.
August 24, 2026
7 weeks agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable, while the single-day picture is balanced as metals and crypto strength offsets broad equity weakness and event risk.
Fixed income and China look modestly cheap, while U.S. equities and energy remain expensive against today's modeled fair-value ranges.
August 21, 2026
8 weeks agoMedium-term opportunities remain led by Developed Pacific, Metals and Energy, while the single-day view is bullish but carries elevated event risk.
Emerging markets and China screen cheapest, while Japan and developed Pacific valuations look fuller against a 3.99% one-year Treasury hurdle.
August 20, 2026
8 weeks agoMedium-term conditions are balanced overall, while single-day strength in energy, crypto and metals offsets pressure in Europe, Pacific equities and bonds.
China and emerging markets offer the widest modeled value gaps, while real estate and energy face the strongest valuation headwinds.
August 19, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions are favorable, while the single-day view is bullish with elevated risk as liquidity support offsets Fed and Middle East pressures.
China and Europe screen relatively cheaper, while U.S. equities remain expensive and high rates constrain real estate and gold.
August 18, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions remain mildly favorable, but the single-day picture is cautious as broad equity weakness contrasts with strong energy leadership.
China screens cheapest, while US and emerging-market valuations face higher hurdles from elevated real yields and richer starting prices.
August 17, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable, led by Japan and Energy, while single-day breadth is bearish and fresh event risk stays elevated.
China and emerging markets screen cheaper, while U.S. equities remain expensive against strong earnings and a near-4% Treasury hurdle.
August 16, 2026
2 months agoAugust 15, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions remain favorable, led by Japan, Developed Pacific and Energy, while single-day news turns risk-off around Hormuz and rates.
China and public REITs show the widest modeled discounts, while Australian equities, U.S. equities and energy carry tighter valuation margins.
August 14, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions are balanced overall, while the single-day picture is mixed: energy and metals lead as Japan and China/Hong Kong face pressure.
China and emerging markets screen cheapest, while U.S. equities and real estate carry the largest premiums to modeled current fair value.
August 13, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions are balanced, while the single-day view is mixed: U.S. and real-estate breadth is firm, but Gulf risks pressure Pacific and China-linked assets.
China and emerging markets screen cheapest while U.S. equities remain expensive; fixed income stays close to its current yield anchor.
August 12, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions are favorable, led by Japan and metals, while the single-day picture is mixed as oil and growth risks keep conviction uneven.
China and real estate screen cheaper, while U.S. and emerging-market equities remain expensive against today’s modeled fair values.
August 11, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term conditions are balanced overall, led by Energy, while the single-day picture softens as event risk concentrates in oil, real estate and bonds.
China leads relative value; energy and U.S. equities look expensive, while crypto’s apparent discount comes with much lower valuation confidence.
August 10, 2026
2 months agoMedium-term equity uptrends remain favorable, while single-day breadth weakens and macro headwinds keep real estate and bonds constrained.
China and emerging markets screen cheapest, while developed Pacific and energy look expensive and U.S. equities remain valuation-stretched.