China & Hong Kong Equities
Data cutoff intraday
Modeled fair value
MCHI · China Broad Market
P10–P90P25–P75Median fair valueToday's market price = 100
Today’s price sits at the 16.0th percentile of modeled fair value — 84% of modeled scenarios put fair value above the market.
- Median fair value
- 120.0
- Upside to median
- +20.0%
- Last close
- $55.10
- Confidence
- high
index, market = 100
2026-08-26
80/100
Modeled returns
Return distributions, not point forecasts
Percentiles describe the spread of scenario outcomes under the stated method. The width of the range carries as much information as the midpoint.
One year
blended- P90
- +38.0%
- P75
- +22.0%
- Median
- +7.5%
- P25
- -8.0%
- P10
- -22.0%
62% of modeled scenarios end positive.
blended_income_growth_partial_valuation_convergence_and_institutional_prior
Three years, annualised
blended- P90
- +18.0%
- P75
- +12.0%
- Median
- +6.8%
- P25
- +1.0%
- P10
- -7.0%
blended_medium_horizon_fundamental_carry_and_partial_valuation_normalization
Against the Treasury hurdle
- 1y Treasury
- 4.01%
- Expected excess
- +3.5%
- Basis
- direct
DGS1 is the preferred current one-year investment-basis hurdle; expected excess is modeled and not guaranteed.
Instruments
10 in this asset class
| Symbol | Valuation | Fair value | Last close | 1y modeled |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHI China Broad Market | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $55.10 | +7.5% |
| 2800.HK Hang Seng Index Tracker | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $25.98 | +7.5% |
| 3033.HK Hang Seng Technology Index | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $4.50 | +7.5% |
| 3110.HK Hong Kong High-Dividend Equity | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $31.76 | +7.5% |
| ASHR China A-Shares | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $34.22 | +7.5% |
| CHIQ China Consumer Sector | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $17.64 | +7.5% |
| CQQQ China Technology Sector | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $48.10 | +7.5% |
| EWH Hong Kong Broad Market | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $22.94 | +7.5% |
| FXI China Large-Cap | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $35.55 | +7.5% |
| KWEB China Internet Sector | +2.0Cheap | 120.0 | $26.28 | +7.5% |