Emerging Markets Equities
Data cutoff
Modeled fair value
VWO · Emerging Markets Broad Index
P10–P90P25–P75Median fair valueToday's market price = 100
Today’s price sits at the 20.8th percentile of modeled fair value — 79% of modeled scenarios put fair value above the market.
- Median fair value
- 110.4
- Upside to median
- +10.4%
- Last close
- $60.45
- Confidence
- moderate-high
index, market = 100
2026-08-21
78/100
Modeled returns
Return distributions, not point forecasts
Percentiles describe the spread of scenario outcomes under the stated method. The width of the range carries as much information as the midpoint.
One year
blended- P90
- +48.0%
- P75
- +30.0%
- Median
- +12.0%
- P25
- -4.0%
- P10
- -20.0%
69% of modeled scenarios end positive.
fundamental_growth_income_partial_valuation_convergence_plus_historical_sanity_check
Three years, annualised
blended- P90
- +25.0%
- P75
- +18.0%
- Median
- +10.0%
- P25
- +1.0%
- P10
- -5.0%
fundamental_growth_income_partial_valuation_convergence_plus_historical_sanity_check
Against the Treasury hurdle
- 1y Treasury
- 3.99%
- Expected excess
- +8.0%
- Basis
- direct
DGS1 is the preferred investment-basis annual hurdle; the expected excess is modeled and is not a guaranteed return.
Instruments
7 in this asset class
| Symbol | Valuation | Fair value | Last close | 1y modeled |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VWO Emerging Markets Broad Index | +1.8Cheap | 110.4 | $60.45 | +12.0% |
| EMXC Emerging Markets Ex-China | —Unavailable | — | $97.80 | — |
| INDA India Index | —Unavailable | — | $49.64 | — |
| EWZ Brazil Index | —Unavailable | — | $35.06 | — |
| EWT Taiwan Index | —Unavailable | — | $104.30 | — |
| EWY South Korea Index | —Unavailable | — | $178.34 | — |
| EZA South Africa Index | —Unavailable | — | $72.51 | — |