Emerging Markets Equities
Data cutoff intraday
Modeled fair value
VWO · Emerging Markets Broad Index
P10–P90P25–P75Median fair valueToday's market price = 100
Today’s price sits at the 38.1th percentile of modeled fair value — 62% of modeled scenarios put fair value above the market.
- Median fair value
- 105.0
- Upside to median
- +5.0%
- Last close
- $60.12
- Confidence
- high
index, market = 100
2026-08-11
85/100
Modeled returns
Return distributions, not point forecasts
Percentiles describe the spread of scenario outcomes under the stated method. The width of the range carries as much information as the midpoint.
One year
modeled- P90
- +26.0%
- P75
- +17.0%
- Median
- +8.5%
- P25
- +2.0%
- P10
- -8.0%
76% of modeled scenarios end positive.
Modeled total-return scenario ensemble combining sustainable growth or carry with partial valuation convergence; no recent-price momentum is used.
Three years, annualised
modeled- P90
- +12.6%
- P75
- +10.1%
- Median
- +7.5%
- P25
- +5.0%
- P10
- +2.4%
Three-year annualized scenario ensemble using slower partial valuation normalization and asset-specific growth/carry anchors.
Against the Treasury hurdle
- 1y Treasury
- 4.04%
- Expected excess
- +4.5%
- Basis
- direct
DGS1 is the preferred current one-year investment-basis hurdle; expected excess is modeled, not guaranteed.
Instruments
7 in this asset class
| Symbol | Valuation | Fair value | Last close | 1y modeled |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VWO Emerging Markets Broad Index | +0.7Somewhat cheap | 105.0 | $60.12 | +8.5% |
| EMXC Emerging Markets Ex-China | —Unavailable | — | $94.66 | — |
| INDA India Index | —Unavailable | — | $50.09 | — |
| EWZ Brazil Index | —Unavailable | — | $33.98 | — |
| EWT Taiwan Index | —Unavailable | — | $103.94 | — |
| EWY South Korea Index | —Unavailable | — | $167.24 | — |
| EZA South Africa Index | —Unavailable | — | $68.59 | — |