Last close
$161.76
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Uptrend
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Vs trend
- Overbought
Energy asset-class score
+1.1
Favorable
US crude is in an overbought uptrend with elevated volatility and rose on 16 October after the strongest five-day gain in the class. Its strongest related news force is the Gulf escalation that lifted WTI to $101.41, set against reserve releases and the Russia waiver that could cap prompt prices.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
—Unavailable
- Median fair value
- —market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- —
WTI futures exposure and the benchmark used in the supplied historical calibration; not modeled separately.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 37.8%
- Max drawdown
- -36.2%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 23.2%
TacticalPortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Strongest five-day change in the class
Opposing
- Overbought with elevated volatility