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$82.21
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Low
- Vs trend
- Near trend
Fixed Income asset-class score
-0.7
Cautious
Long-Term US Treasuries is in a sideways with low volatility and is near trend relative to trend. Sideways, wait-and-see. The strongest directly mapped News & Events force is Jobs pressure duration.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
+0.3Fair
- Median fair value
- 100.4market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- +5.4%
Long-Term US Treasuries inherits the asset-class valuation as a proxy only; no security-specific fair-value model was independently estimated.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 15.7%
- Max drawdown
- -43.7%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- -7.8%
SatellitePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Mixed to neutralNeither lens registers a strong reading. Scores within ±0.5 of zero are treated as neutral rather than weak signals.
Market Lens -0.7 (asset class)Valuation Lens +0.3 (instrument)
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Low volatility supports a steadier setup.
Opposing
- Direction remains range-bound.
- Price remains below the 200-day average.