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Short-Term US Treasuries

Fixed Income →
Last close
$81.36

Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.

Market Lens

Trend
Sideways
Volatility
Low
Vs trend
Near trend
Fixed Income asset-class score
-1.0
Cautious

Short-term Treasuries are the only constituent not in a downtrend and rose on 16 October. Their strongest related force is the expected October pause, which pulled the 2-year yield down to 4.715%.

Full evidence →

Valuation Lens

—Unavailable
Median fair value
—market = 100
1y modeled return
—

Short Treasuries track the 1-2 year yield (4.46-4.74%) with little price risk; not modeled separately.

Full distribution →

Risk profile

Annualised volatility
2.0%
Max drawdown
-5.4%
5y return (CAGR)
1.9%
CorePortfolio eligible

Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.

Technical

Supporting and opposing conditions

Supportive

  • Only constituent not in a downtrend
  • Lowest ATR in the class

Opposing

  • None recorded.