Last close
$90.42
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Downtrend
- Volatility
- Low
- Vs trend
- Near trend
Fixed Income asset-class score
-1.0
Cautious
Intermediate Treasuries are in a low-volatility downtrend and edged higher on 16 October. Their strongest related force is the consumer inflation report, with producer prices, oil, firm retail sales and deficit supply also weighing, and the expected October pause the one tailwind.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
—Unavailable
- Median fair value
- —market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- —
Intermediate Treasuries benefit directly from the high real-yield starting point; not modeled separately.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 7.7%
- Max drawdown
- -20.4%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- -1.6%
CorePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Positive five-day change of 1.14%
Opposing
- Below both moving averages