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$402.78
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Normal
- Vs trend
- Near trend
Metals asset-class score
+0.3
Balanced
Gold is in a sideways with normal volatility and is near trend relative to trend. The strongest mapped News & Events force is geopolitical escalation supports precious-metal hedging demand, a tailwind for this exposure.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
+0.4Somewhat cheap
- Median fair value
- 104.0market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- +4.4%
Representative benchmark anchoring the asset-class market price at 100; fair value is modeled from asset-specific economic evidence.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 18.8%
- Max drawdown
- -26.4%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 18.7%
HedgePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Mixed to neutralNeither lens registers a strong reading. Scores within ±0.5 of zero are treated as neutral rather than weak signals.
Market Lens +0.3 (asset class)Valuation Lens +0.4 (instrument)
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Price is above its 50-day average.
Opposing
- The price structure remains range-bound.
- Price is below its 200-day average.