Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Uptrend
- Volatility
- Low
- Vs trend
- Near trend
The large-cap index is in a low-volatility uptrend and fell on 16 October by more than its typical daily range. Its strongest related force is the producer-price surge, which squeezes margins and supports hike expectations; the AI selloff adds pressure, while reduced October hike odds offered brief relief.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
- Median fair value
- 91.0market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- +6.0%
Representative benchmark: price sits about 10% above modeled median value once 5% Treasury yields are reflected in the justified multiple.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 17.1%
- Max drawdown
- -24.5%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 12.8%
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Mixed to neutralNeither lens registers a strong reading. Scores within ±0.5 of zero are treated as neutral rather than weak signals.
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Largest class weight still in an uptrend
Opposing
- Session move larger than one ATR