Last close
$539.79
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Vs trend
- Oversold
US Equities asset-class score
0.0
Balanced
Semiconductors are sideways and oversold with elevated volatility after the deepest five-day decline in the class, and fell again on 16 October. The strongest related force is TSMC's strong guidance, a tailwind, set against the AI funding selloff and Chinese memory competition.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
—Unavailable
- Median fair value
- —market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- —
Semiconductor earnings are at a cyclical high on AI demand; not modeled separately.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 36.9%
- Max drawdown
- -45.3%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 33.1%
SatellitePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Still above the two-hundred-day average
Opposing
- Deepest five-day change in the class
- Highest ATR in the class at 2.91%