Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Normal
- Vs trend
- Near trend
US Small-Cap Index is in a sideways with normal volatility and is near trend relative to trend. The strongest mapped News & Events force is above-target inflation keeps policy restraint active, a headwind for this exposure.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
- Median fair value
- 92.0market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- +5.5%
Asset-class fair value is used as a proxy for this supplied symbol; no independent symbol-level fair-value distribution is claimed.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 22.5%
- Max drawdown
- -31.9%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 6.5%
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Rising, but richly pricedTechnical conditions are favorable while the model puts fair value below today’s price. Trend-following and valuation disciplines point in opposite directions — the tension is real, not a data error.
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Price is above its 200-day average.
Opposing
- The price structure remains range-bound.
- Price is below its 50-day average.