Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Normal
- Vs trend
- Near trend
The broad Japan market is sideways, below its fifty-day average but above its long-term average, and lagged the class on 16 October with the weakest five-day change. Its strongest related force is the AI selloff that hit Japan's chip-equipment heavyweights, with the oil import bill as a second headwind.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
- Median fair value
- 95.0market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- +5.5%
Representative benchmark: price sits about 5% above modeled median value after a strong 12-month run.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 18.7%
- Max drawdown
- -29.6%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 9.3%
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Mixed to neutralNeither lens registers a strong reading. Scores within ±0.5 of zero are treated as neutral rather than weak signals.
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Holds a two-hundred-day premium
Opposing
- Weakest five-day change in the class at -3.05%