Last close
$54.51
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Sideways
- Volatility
- Elevated
- Vs trend
- Near trend
Crypto asset-class score
-0.2
Balanced
Ethereum is sideways with elevated volatility, just below its fifty-day average, and fell on 16 October. Its strongest related force is the inflation surprise, compounded by three straight days of spot ether fund outflows.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
—Unavailable
- Median fair value
- —market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- —
Priced through an exchange-traded vehicle with history from July 2024; not modeled separately.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 70.0%
- Max drawdown
- -67.9%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- -15.2%
SatellitePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Holds a two-hundred-day premium
Opposing
- Slipped below its fifty-day average