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$79,726.28
Both lenses score −3 to +3, in different senses: on Market Lens, +3 is strongly supportive conditions; on Valuation Lens, +3 is very cheap against modeled fair value.
Market Lens
- Trend
- Uptrend
- Volatility
- High
- Vs trend
- Overbought
Crypto asset-class score
-0.1
Balanced
Bitcoin is in a uptrend with high volatility and is overbought relative to trend. Stretched uptrend, pullback risk. The strongest directly mapped News & Events force is Jobs keep liquidity tight.
Full evidence →Valuation Lens
-0.2Fair
- Median fair value
- 94.9market = 100
- 1y modeled return
- -0.8%
Bitcoin is the representative benchmark used to normalize this asset class to market price 100; its asset-class median fair value is 94.9.
Full distribution →Risk profile
- Annualised volatility
- 43.3%
- Max drawdown
- -76.6%
- 5y return (CAGR)
- 8.7%
SatellitePortfolio eligible
Realized statistics from five years of monthly total returns. Historical risk is context, not a forecast.
Reading the two together
Mixed to neutralNeither lens registers a strong reading. Scores within ±0.5 of zero are treated as neutral rather than weak signals.
Market Lens -0.1 (asset class)Valuation Lens -0.2 (instrument)
Technical
Supporting and opposing conditions
Supportive
- Medium-term trend remains positive.
- Price remains above the 200-day average.
Opposing
- High volatility raises short-term risk.
- The symbol is stretched above trend.